Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Betting On March Madness – Handicapping The Final Four

If you’re betting on March Madness, you have been bitten by one of these four teams as this could be the most unlikely Final Four in the history of the NCAA Tournament. A No.3 (Connecticut), a No.4 (Kentucky), a No.8 (Butler) and a No.11 (VCU) will fight for the right to cut down the nets, and both games should go down to the wire.

VCU Butler Betting – Saturday, 6:09 PM ET

The Bulldogs are 2.5-point favorites after yet another close win, and what Butler has done is amazing. After losing a player to the lottery after last year’s run to the title game, no one expected Butler to be here once again, so can we call Butler the new version of Gonzaga? Because it appears as though VCU has taken over the role of this year’s Butler after rolling through the South region, culminated by a 10-point win over Kansas that wasn’t even that close. The Rams have been the story of March Madness, even bigger than Butler’s return to the Final Four because VCU have been romping over people; a one-point overtime victory over Florida State is the only game in which they didn’t beat a team by 10 points or more, not bad for a team that had to play their way into the bracket. VCU has been doing it with long-range shooting, hitting 45.1% from beyond the arc, and if the Bulldogs can’t slow that down, it’s going to be a long night for Butler. We’re going with VCU to continue their run.

UConn Kentucky Betting – Saturday, 8:49 PM ET

The Wildcats are 2-point favorites in the “programs you may recognize” side of the Final Four, as Kentucky is here for the 14th time, while UConn is here for the third time in seven years. NBA scouts have tuned into UConn to watch Kemba Walker, and he has been great for the Huskies (who are 12-0 in three tournaments this season), but Jeremy Lamb has played the best basketball of his freshman year, which gives Walker space to do his thing. The Wildcats battled hard to win all of their games, but they saved their best in wins over Ohio State, the top overall seed, and North Carolina, two teams that could easily be here at this point. The matchup of Walker against Brandon Knight at the point is a clash of two of the most exciting players in the Tournament, but we think Kentucky has more weapons on offense and more importantly, they’ve improved their defense in the postseason. It’s tough to bet against UConn given the run they’re on, but the Wildcats are athletic and disciplined enough to hold the Huskies off in your online sportsbook.

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