Nigeria U17 vs Spain U17

World Cup Under 17
12 November, Thursday

Nigeria vs Spain
18:00 BST
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Football fans have no choice today but to choose between a very few games in the coupon. Under 17 games are risky business for the punters but I will have a shot at a price looks worthy and safe enough.
Nigeria vs Spain is a battle with long story on that level and a revenge will be on the table today when both sides meet each other in what should be a final before the final. Spain are desperate to rebuild some pride after loosing 2007 final in Korea from the same opponent after a shootout. Speaking of penalties Spain were lucky enough to win the roulette on the quarters but over 90 minutes efforts may produce some tricks with the legs at that stage. Nigeria are improving with every game here and I will expect them to put Spain under serious physical pressure. Home fans are completely mad and this support will play a role too.
I was considering the 90 minutes draw here but then changed my opinion as Nigeria looks too dangerous in front of the fans, being in top form and able to produce smashing press all over the pitch which will emphasize Spain fatigued after a nerve-shredding 1/4 final.
We can find a relatively safe exit of this game and look for the draw on the HT as both teams will take it easy from the start with a mind on not conceding rather than scoring an early goal.

Bet Selection:
Draw at HT

Top Price:
2.10 in bet365

Bukomir is moving house

As you probably remember I have designed a series of posts or reviews that will bring you closer to my web surfing findings aside of the pure betting numbers and calculations. The first one was about how I take care of my laptop - now I will move your attention to something I experienced just a month ago.

Moving a house can be such a shock - specially if you are so addicted to your daily convenience and every time you need to live few hours without Internet or cable it hearts a lot. It is hard to find everything and adjusting can take precious time and efforts you may want to bring in another initiative. On the other hand you are not willing to invest your monthly check in this, that's clear. So finding a cheap conveyancing is the fair alternative that will save you time and energy and will make your world looks friendly again. Or, in my case, will let me focus back on growing my bankroll.
I found moveme.com as often happens by powering my search engine with the keyword - conveyancing. These guys are doing exactly everything you need to minimize the negative effect of moving your place, including utilities transfer! Just ask for your conveyancing quote and you will easily find the difference when comparing the price levels. The same in betting - I always take the best option of price.

Uefa Champions League Picks

Bukomir's Predictions

Champions League
29 September, 09

Fiorentina v Liverpool
ko 19:45 BST
It smells like a draw from miles this one! Both teams are coming after a successful weekend in their domestic leagues and will bring their best in this Champions League game to ensure the good mood continues. Liverpool have a momentum of scoring goals and Torres looks back in shape pretty much. The problem is that Fiorentina, specially at home, are able to close the game so well and wait for their chance as long as needed. The team is solid in defense and has a couple of players up front who are capable of scoring from everywhere. Pool are not the same team as was last year and it will be too brave of a man to back them blindly on the road in Europe, specially when visiting an Italian team. However draw looks likely enough to put your money down on such a bet - I expect a close game, no more than 2 goals and just can not see how these two will find a one way exit.

Bet selection:
I will take the draw here for a massive reward of 3.50 offered by bet365 this morning.

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Arsenal v Olympiakos
ko 19:45 BST
I expect Mellberg to be more than happy after this one and the reason shouldn't be the "happy memories" only. Call me mad but I will search for an Under 2.5 Goals here which looks like a suicide bet on Arsenal game this season. However Olympiakos is in my short list of teams which are always ready to produce an Under in Europe, specially on the road. The squad looks perfectly gelled for that phase of the tournament and performs on a very high level at the back. They have actually conceded just two goals in ten games and bookies should be punished for ignoring the fact and building their odds only around Arsenal attacking power. Arsenal were so happy in their last outing in Champions League and over used some luck in the Premier League also - it is time for us to see that this team is again very close to be crowned but still lacks quality and experience enough. I will take the Under option here and expect not a bad night for the visitors.

Bet selection:
Tasty, tasty 2.30 offered by bet365 for Under 2.5 Goals here.

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Bookmakers of choice:
This season I will use mainly the following bookies to bet on UEFA Champions League as I find them secure, trusted and user friendly. Read more in my best rated bookmakers section or join me in:

Ladbrokes, bet365, bwin, Expekt or Bet-at-home.


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Before the game starts & after the final whistle:
I found playing poker as an great alternative on sports betting and a way to increase my bankroll seriously. And it is more fun, that is for sure. You can find me on 1/2 NL Holdem at:

Full Tilt & Bet365

UCI Road World Championships 09 Pick

Last sunny days of the season host one of the most expected World Championship events ever. Just few days after the exhausting Tour of Spain offered severe mountain stages and finishes we have the desert of this season - UCI Road World Championships in Mendrisio. One hard day, 262 kms and a couple of clear favorites to have it. I will skip all the previews on the course and detailed analysis on every rider - you can have them all here. I will take a quick shot at my favorite rider instead - Cunego looks like money in the bank and prices for him are going down so fast. Started from 7.00, now it is hard to find better than 6.00 offered by bwin today. You know in cycling there is nothing for granted but this time the Little Prince legs can lead your bankroll safely to a nice reward.

The course suits him to perfection, no doubt about that. His and his team only concern should be to avoid an early break away group which will be very hard to be followed up and down on this route. Looking at the Italian national line up I see the team is very well balanced and capable of control the race from minute 1 till the end. Cunego will have great support in terms of speed, climbing and downhill skills with Ballan, Pozzato, Paolini and Garzelli next to him. The captain should consume their efforts properly and I can predict a well prepared attack to be leaded on the final climb of the day.
Cunego showed a great hints of top form in Vuelta. However I thought he was going to leave the race a bit earlier. The pick of his form should come in Mendrisio and it will be a major surprise if someone manages to steal the glory. Spaniards are also very good on paper with Sanchez and Valverde on the front line but I think both left their power in Spain and the legs will shout for rest on this hilly, "no recovery possible" course.

• I will take Cunego to win the title on Saturday - 6.00 for him in bwin

Cardiff To Shock Villa

League Cup England
23 September, Wednesday

Aston Villa vs Cardiff
19:45 BST
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Upsets are the heart of this tournament and I think this one should be one. Call me mad but I expect Villa to become a victim of their outstanding performance recently. Lack of motivation, short bench, different focus - I can add many reasons for going in that direction but the main one is actually with the opponents here - Cardiff City. Visitors are in a bad mood after loosing all the points against QPR on Saturday and after the great start of the season things starts looking not as bright as just few weeks ago. A win or a good result here will lift their confidence high and bring the desired power to stay competitive on the top teams (which is under question mark after Cardiff lost to QPR and Newcastle). It is true the injury list is long - McCormack, Etuhu, McNaughton, Adam Matthews are all there - but Cardiff still have a decent players who may bring the glory home and restore some pride.
I see Villa are not so interested of this tournament with Premier League top 6 on the table this season. The team had a slow start of the campaign but now looks well in form. The problem is that Villa will need every preserved power by their regulars for the Premier League battles as the bench is still too short for such a high class team and options are not too many, indeed.
I tip them to approach the game with less concentration than needed which will be properly used by Cardiff City strong attacking line up. It is time to see goals in Villa's net after 2 unusual scenarios.

Bet Selection:
Double chance: Cardiff or Draw

Top Price:
2.62 in bet365

How To Improve Your Betting Skills

Part II
I am back on the betting basics with more wisdom to be shared, hopefully for the good of your bankroll. In part I we went through how to build and manage a bankroll as well as on how to avoid betting on not known sports and options. This time I will share two things I find extremely important about successful sports betting.

Approach the game, not the prices
I am sure everyone does it. Get up in the morning, a big coffee on the table, bookie uploaded in the browser and than scroll the games staring at the odds and the odds only. After some time with betting and specially if you lost money in a row your brain starts to scroll down the prices only and often forgets about the game and opponents. Ask your self an honest question - am I staring at the tasty draw not on the listed game? If the answer is yes, you are in trouble, man. You are that close from starting to stake a number of draws for extremely big accumulated rewards - it is so thrilling when you put your money down on 4 "so likely" draws and so disappointing at the end of the day when all 4 went wrong.
Keep your mind on the game, analyze the opponents, browse the statistics and the archive in your head, feel it with your instincts if you have any live impressions on the opponents so far and then, but only then, look at the prices for each option. And you should do that every time, on every game and build a discipline of a kind that will save/bring you money.

Find the right value
Be careful with all these easy looking 1.35 - 1.60 priced options - I have learned that from experience but you can save some time and money. It looks 100 % save, like no chance to go the other way, a smashing advantage on the table and when the final whistle goes and 0:0 is on the screen you are close to suicide (specially if that game is the last in your coupon to bring you a massive award). Most of the time it is just not worthy compared to the risk you are taking by only putting your money down on the option (remember, all of the other options are still likely enough before the game starts, pure mathematics!). Of course, you can have an accumulator but my advice is to avoid this kind of bets if you are not experienced enough - the easiest looking things are, as always, the hardest! Bookies are not stupid (well, most of the time) and even 1.55 looks like a gift, it is not or won't be if you look from a bit long term perspective.
Start with prices between 1.80 - 2.20 - these babies just shout "bookies are not sure enough on me" while still apply your knowledge on the game and opponents before looking at the prices at all.
I am doing it like this - when it comes to Premier League in England I am browsing the fixtures on the official league site first and identify a list of games I am interested to take a bet on. Then I am reading all the related news, injuries, suspensions, etc. and finally I have a look at the prices in one of my favorite bookies. I am selecting the games that responds to the 1.80 - 2.20 rule and the list becomes shorter. After that it is time for some picks by experienced punters I am following on the net, some background and, of course, checking for possible better price across the sports books.

Part III will come shortly on the blog with focus on helpful resources, betting tool kits, paid or free picks discussions and more advanced options for experienced tipsters.